Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 2.089204 2.394348 2.730777 3.129584 3.589942 4.105268 4.726714
2025-06-15 1.609412 2.014687 2.504268 3.140925 3.949527 4.945646 6.271124
2025-06-22 1.318887 1.751843 2.308087 3.078406 4.122878 5.497362 7.455839
2025-06-29 1.127860 1.571793 2.171389 3.045536 4.296170 6.034125 8.655398
2025-07-06 0.975120 1.415789 2.036991 2.983556 4.402070 6.468739 9.744296
2025-07-13 0.918711 1.385169 2.069191 3.155030 4.853966 7.440890 11.736383
2025-07-20 0.831395 1.296014 2.001561 3.163080 5.051702 8.043387 13.223383
2025-07-27 0.778794 1.252567 1.996011 3.262635 5.398477 8.911081 15.240634
2025-08-03 0.713449 1.180589 1.935887 3.263733 5.578837 9.520010 16.888641
2025-08-10 0.652740 1.109115 1.867872 3.241524 5.712655 10.058282 18.470920
2025-08-17 0.593906 1.034347 1.785904 3.184391 5.775171 10.472491 19.869715
2025-08-24 0.559142 0.997647 1.765258 3.232766 6.031396 11.261333 22.071235
2025-08-31 0.521926 0.957222 1.741710 3.288534 6.338056 12.238279 24.901325
2025-09-07 0.480670 0.905847 1.694475 3.297874 6.565200 13.109924 27.696176
2025-09-14 0.435420 0.841393 1.614686 3.232194 6.631069 13.662850 29.897256
2025-09-21 0.399244 0.790316 1.554552 3.197594 6.754404 14.347596 32.491597
2025-09-28 0.364019 0.737145 1.484143 3.132365 6.802524 14.875125 34.808294
2025-10-05 0.356544 0.739725 1.526920 3.312837 7.412029 16.722972 40.544284
2025-10-12 0.333685 0.707471 1.493328 3.321309 7.633152 17.715576 44.353088
2025-10-19 0.321088 0.695806 1.502233 3.426101 8.091558 19.327782 50.003444
2025-10-26 0.301240 0.666058 1.468253 3.427257 8.301319 20.366147 54.325547
2025-11-02 0.281373 0.634196 1.426137 3.403878 8.447251 21.264966 58.423491
2025-11-09 0.260759 0.598523 1.371597 3.343741 8.492207 21.910807 61.925482